Posted by: John Nicklin | January 30, 2008

2007 - 8th Warmest Year in the last Decade

temp-trend-2007.png

Ok, so if the global temperature is increasing, as we are told repeatedly, why is the trend moving flat or downward on average?

Does 8th warmest mean 3rd coldest? Stands to reason. It looks very much like 2007 was colder than 1988, 1992, and 1996, not to mention most of the last decade. Our detractors will still claim this as “climate change” but we have never claimed that climate is static.

I’m currently in Calgary, Alberta and we are just emerging from veru cold temperatures -39C, most of Alberta is in the deep freeze, much of the Canadian prairies have been hot by severely cold tempertures over the last several weeks. Calgary benefits from the Chinook, a warming wind that moderates winter cold. While we were in the freezer, Banff, just 100 kilometres to the west saw temperatures 30 degrees warmer, hovering at -8C.

This winter, my home location of Comox, BC on Vancouver Island or”Lotus Land” as some call it, has seen prolonged cold. Sure its only -5 or so, but we usually see temps above zero. We have also seen more snow than average. More climate change? Yes! But is it “Climate Change”? More like business as usual.

Responses

Hi John: Great to see you back blogging! I was worried since you disappeared into a black hole around August!!

In regards to the temperatures, Tamino has had a couple of interesting post about the continued rise (or not depending on how you look at it). I will dig them out tomorrow.

Best,
John

hi John, Its good to hear from you too. I did fall into a black hole, as my more recent post will explain. Its good to be back though.

Dig up those numbers and lets have a look.

Hi John: As promised (if you take a generous view of tomorrow). Here is the link from Tamino I was talking about.

Granted he is using the GISS dataset and the one you posted is the RSS one, but I think this picture is a good one. The red dotted lines show the 95% confidence interval and as you can see all of the temperatures do fall within that 95% range.

Regards,
John

Interesting graph, more or less agrees with what I said. It too shpws that it isn’t getting warmer, the curve for the last decade is still flat, that is to say, no increase. For every fluctuation, there is an inflationary phase, a plateau and then a deflationary phase. During the plateau phase it is still possible to show the curve increasing only because it fits with the error bars.

Tamino is right in regards to his statement that we might know by 2015.

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